I don’t think AI is going to replace that many visual art jobs for the simple reason that the current AI image generators are build flawed from the ground up. Most professional artists create art by understanding how 3D shapes interact with light, and how to translate those shapes to a 2D plane to create the illusion of volume. AI image generators, on the other hand, start directly from the 2D image. Their genius plan was to essentially have their “brain” trace 5 billion (stolen) images. That’s… not an effective way to learn art, and it’s one that leaves you with glaring holes in your ability. It’s why iAI is super great at creating surrealist landscapes and static sexy doe-eyed anime girl torsos — because the first one allows it to hide its massive logic gaps in the trippy details, and the second is extremely consistent to the point where you could probably overlay hundreds of them over one another and see virtually no difference, so you actually can brute force to learn how to “draw” them.
I do think that AI image generators, like the invention of the camera, will heavily skew what is considered valuable as far as art goes. Prior to the invention of the camera, being able to paint as close to real as possible was seen as a desired trait. After the camera was introduced, straight realism fell out of favour, and there was an explosion of art that attempted to capture feeling and color (two things the camera could not do). I kind of expect the same thing to likely happen with AI, where the things that is plain sucks at doing (and will never get better at, at least in its current form) become valued, because they are a clear expression of human skill and creativity. So while a lot of illustration jobs are currently ravaged by AI fakes, because they’re great at imitating the kind of shit the public perceives to be as “highly skilled” now (heavy render, lots of details, static pose), I actually think they will start coming back in the next decade, as the public adjusts and starts to understand that they’re no longer looking at something “valuable”.*
*that’s assuming everything continues as is, and that none of the current lawsuits heavily restrict AI databases, or that there is legislation passed to curb its use.